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Bank of Canada Decision Oct 28: What It Means for Mortgage Renewals in Ontario

Bank of Canada Decision Oct 28: What It Means for Mortgage Renewals in Ontario

On October 28, 2026, the Bank of Canada raised its policy rate by a quarter point to 2.50%, its first increase in more than three years. If your mortgage renews in the next year, here is what that move can and can't change.

The short version
  • The Bank of Canada rate went from 2.25% to 2.50% on October 28.
  • It mainly moves variable-rate mortgages. Fixed rates follow bond yields.
  • A higher renewal rate can add hundreds of dollars a month. Compare quotes before your offer expires.
The rate decision

Where the Bank of Canada stands

2.50%
policy rate, up from 2.25%
Dec 9
next scheduled announcement

The Bank cited inflation of 3.1% in September and said further increases are possible, while stressing it will “proceed carefully.” This post does not try to predict what happens next.

Fixed vs. variable

The part most renewal articles skip

Variable-rate mortgages
Tied to the policy rate, so they are the most directly affected by the October 28 increase.
Fixed-rate mortgages
Follow Government of Canada bond yields, which move on their own schedule. The hike doesn't automatically change your fixed renewal offer, and a hold on December 9 wouldn't freeze it either.
The numbers

What a payment change looks like

An illustration only: a $500,000 balance, 20 years left to pay off, and Canadian semi-annual compounding. At 2.00% the payment is $2,527 a month. Here is how much more each example rate adds:

At 3.50%
+$366
At 4.50%
+$625
At 5.00%
+$758
Renewal rateMonthly paymentvs. 2.00%
2.00%$2,527n/a
3.50%$2,893+14.5%
4.50%$3,152+24.7%
5.00%$3,286+30.0%

Example rates only, not quotes, forecasts or today’s rates. Your number depends on your balance, remaining amortization and the rate you are offered.

Your next move

What to do before your renewal

1
Find your renewal date. Check your mortgage statement, then watch for your lender’s offer, which often arrives well before the date.
2
Get at least one competing quote. A broker can price the same term across several lenders. You are generally free to compare.
3
Work out your payment at a few rates. If a higher payment would strain your budget, deal with it now.
4
Talk to your lender early if you expect to struggle. Lenders have the most options before a payment is missed.
If you're behind

If payments are already behind

Missed payments can lead to a notice of sale under the Mortgages Act, and the process has specific timelines and rights. Here’s how power of sale works in Ontario, and you can see what we track for Durham Region.
Worried about a renewal or a payment you can’t make?
We’ll walk through your options.
Contact our team

Source: Bank of Canada rate decision, October 28, 2026, as reported by Advisor.ca.

This article is for general information only and is not financial or legal advice. Speak with a licensed mortgage broker or a lawyer about your situation. Payment figures are illustrative and not rate quotes.

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